Morning Briefing
21st August 2026
⚠ Walmart falls 9.3% despite beating on profit and revenue — comparable sales growth slowed to 2.6% vs. a 3.5% estimate
⚠ Trump threatens Iran with "the MOST CRUSHING ECONOMIC OPERATION EVER TAKEN AGAINST ANY COUNTRY," offering few details; Brent climbs to $93.41
📉 Wednesday's Treasury buyback relief proves short-lived — the 10-year yield is already back near pre-announcement levels at 4.70%
Market Overview
  • US stocks fell Thursday as rising oil prices and higher bond yields revived inflation worries, erasing much of the relief created by Wednesday's expanded Treasury buyback announcement. The S&P 500 fell 0.87% to 7,641.16 — its fourth loss in five sessions since setting an all-time high last week — the Dow dropped 1.32% to 52,759.21, and the Nasdaq-100 slid 0.72% to 29,213.16.
  • Walmart was one of the heaviest weights on the index, falling 9.15% even after reporting stronger profit and revenue than analysts expected (adjusted EPS of 81 cents vs. 74 cents estimated, on sales of $187.9 billion). Investors focused instead on comparable-store sales growth slowing to 2.6% against a 3.5% estimate, and a current-quarter profit forecast that fell short of expectations — an important signal given last week's already-weak national retail sales data. Advance Auto Parts plunged over 17% and Moderna gave back roughly 24% of Wednesday's historic surge on profit-taking.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield climbed back to 4.70% from 4.65% late Wednesday — nearly erasing the entire relief from the government's bond buyback plan — as Brent crude rose 2% to $93.41 on continued uncertainty over when oil tankers will freely exit the Persian Gulf again. President Trump threatened Iran late Wednesday with "the MOST CRUSHING ECONOMIC OPERATION EVER TAKEN AGAINST ANY COUNTRY" but provided few specifics. Separately, US government debt topped $40 trillion for the first time, just months after crossing $39 trillion in April.
  • European markets closed mostly lower: France's CAC 40 fell 0.57% and Germany's DAX dropped 0.41%, both tracking the same yield and geopolitical pressures as Wall Street, while London's FTSE 100 was little changed, edging up 0.04%. Adidas led losses across the region on continued weakness in consumer discretionary names.
  • Asia is mixed to lower this morning: Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.09% to 65,484.72, tracking Wall Street's decline, while South Korea's KOSPI eased 0.43%, giving back a portion of Thursday's sharp rebound. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.42% and India's Nifty 50 added 0.64%, while Shanghai and Taiwan's TAIEX were both little changed.
Asset Class Snapshot
Major US Index
Dow Jones
-1.32%
Major European Index
CAC 40
-0.57%
Major Asian Index (Fri)
Nikkei 225
-1.09%
UK 10Y Gilt Yield
Move
+0.46%
Risk Indicators
Bond Yield Relief Fading
Geopolitical Risk (Iran)
US Consumer Health Signal
US Fiscal/Debt Concern
Chip/Tech Sector Stress
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
📊 Thursday 20 August 2026 close — Walmart's miss on comp sales and rising yields drag indexes into a fourth decline in five days
US Indices
S&P 500
7,641.16
-0.87%
Dow Jones
52,759.21
-1.32%
Nasdaq 100
29,213.16
-0.72%
Russell 2000
2,992.43
-1.34%
US flash S&P Global Manufacturing PMI lands at 21:45 HKT today. Ross Stores reports earnings after today's close, adding to this week's retail read-through following Walmart's disappointing comp sales.
  • Nordson, Coinbase Global, Deere & Co, Lumentum Holdings and Qnity Electronics led S&P 500 gainers. Initial jobless claims came in below expectations and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index showed the mid-Atlantic region much stronger than expected — both adding to upward pressure on longer-term Treasury yields via improved growth expectations.
  • Moderna gave back roughly 24% of Wednesday's historic cancer-vaccine surge on profit-taking. Walmart fell 9.15% despite beating estimates, as comparable sales growth slowed and its current-quarter profit outlook missed. Intuitive Surgical, CrowdStrike Holdings and Steel Dynamics also declined sharply.
S&P 500 Heatmap
Top 5 Movers – S&P 500
Gainers
NDSN
334.70
+8.00%
COIN
172.35
+7.58%
DE
620.94
+6.94%
LITE
879.28
+6.24%
Q
133.52
+5.93%
Losers
STLD
219.00
-5.20%
CRWD
190.34
-5.60%
ISRG
374.48
-5.84%
WMT
103.84
-9.15%
MRNA
133.32
-23.55%
Top 5 Movers – Dow Jones
Gainers
MCD
269.13
+0.63%
TRV
364.49
+0.63%
KO
90.50
+0.17%
V
365.73
+0.05%
Losers
AMGN
433.73
-1.95%
NKE
40.21
-2.05%
MRK
148.99
-2.11%
AMZN
260.11
-2.16%
WMT
103.84
-9.15%
Top 5 Movers – Nasdaq 100
Gainers
MSTR
112.39
+7.81%
LITE
879.28
+6.24%
MRVL
251.01
+5.79%
MU
974.33
+3.97%
STX
850.24
+2.12%
Losers
AXON
614.26
-4.87%
ALNY
229.30
-5.49%
CRWD
190.34
-5.60%
ISRG
374.48
-5.84%
WMT
103.84
-9.15%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
📊 Thursday 20 August 2026 close — European stocks track Wall Street lower on rising yields and Iran-tension oil strength
European Indices
EURO STOXX 50
6,422.06
-0.35%
FTSE 100
10,748.16
+0.04%
DAX
25,983.04
-0.41%
CAC 40
8,453.09
-0.57%
London's FTSE 100 was the region's relative outperformer, little changed as the rest of Europe tracked the same yield and geopolitical pressures weighing on Wall Street.
  • France's CAC 40 fell 0.57% to 8,453.09 and Germany's DAX dropped 0.41% to 25,983.04, both weighed by rising Treasury and Bund yields as Brent crude climbed toward $93.41 on continued Strait-of-Hormuz uncertainty. Adidas led losses across the region, down 3.14%, as consumer discretionary names broadly underperformed.
  • London's FTSE 100 edged up 0.04% to 10,748.16, effectively flat as the index absorbed the same global cross-currents with less severity than continental peers. Today's UK Retail Sales data (14:00 HKT) and flash PMIs across the Eurozone and UK are the session's key releases.
Top 5 Movers – EURO STOXX 50
Gainers
ENI IM
24.55
+2.59%
ARGX NA
885.20
+0.87%
TTE FP
78.32
+0.85%
OR FP
385.80
+0.85%
IFX GY
55.41
+0.78%
Losers
AD NA
30.94
-1.93%
RMS FP
1,549.50
-2.09%
MC FP
443.10
-2.83%
ADS GY
151.00
-3.14%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
📊 Friday 21 August 2026 — Nikkei tracks Wall Street lower while Hang Seng and Nifty 50 buck the trend
Asian Indices
Nikkei 225
65,484.72
-1.09%
Hang Seng
25,807.61
+0.42%
Shanghai Comp.
3,903.72
+0.24%
KOSPI
6,824.79
-0.43%
Nifty 50
24,231.85
+0.64%
TAIEX
44,951.01
+0.06%
Japan's National CPI data lands at 07:30 HKT today, alongside flash manufacturing and services PMIs across the region.
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 1.09% to 65,484.72, tracking Wall Street's decline, with Japan Steel Works, Sumco, IHI, Fast Retailing and Trend Micro among the session's laggards, even as Sumitomo Chemical, Itochu, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ricoh and Tokyo Electric Power advanced. South Korea's KOSPI eased 0.43% to 6,824.79, giving back a portion of Thursday's sharp rebound.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.42% to 25,807.61, led by J&T Global Express and Henderson Land Development, while India's Nifty 50 added 0.64% to 24,231.85. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite and Taiwan's TAIEX were both little changed, up 0.24% and 0.06% respectively.
Top 5 Movers – Nikkei 225
Gainers
4005 Sumitomo Chemical
543.80
+4.19%
8001 Itochu
2,070.50
+3.34%
9107 Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
3,270
+3.02%
7752 Ricoh
1,646.50
+2.91%
9501 Tokyo Electric Power
539.30
+2.80%
Losers
4704 Trend Micro
1,403
-4.20%
9983 Fast Retailing
73,050
-4.23%
7013 IHI Corp
2,637
-4.70%
3436 Sumco
3,278
-5.09%
5631 Japan Steel Works
7,313
-5.89%
Top 5 Movers – Hang Seng Index
Gainers
1519 J&T Global Express
10.47
+4.28%
12 Henderson Land Dev.
29.20
+3.62%
2899 Zijin Mining-H
37.76
+2.72%
9988 Alibaba
129.20
+2.38%
1810 Xiaomi-B
28.40
+2.31%
Losers
6618 JD Health Intl
37.70
-0.89%
868 Xinyi Glass
9.01
-1.10%
9888 Baidu-A
90.80
-1.47%
9999 NetEase
190.40
-1.55%
9992 Pop Mart Intl
141.10
-8.20%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Government Bond Yields
US 2Y Treasury
4.19%
0.00%
US 5Y Treasury
4.39%
+0.02%
US 10Y Treasury
4.70%
+0.02%
US 30Y Treasury
5.25%
-0.03%
UK Gilts 10Y
5.07%
+0.46%
Germany Bund 10Y
3.26%
-0.09%
China 10Y
1.68%
+0.01%
Japan 10Y
2.87%
-0.20%
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed back to 4.70% from Wednesday's 4.65%, nearly erasing the relief from the government's bond buyback announcement, as rising oil and encouraging jobless-claims and Philly Fed data pushed growth and inflation expectations higher.
  • UK Gilt yields rose 0.46%, tracking the broader global rates story, while German Bund yields eased slightly. US government debt topped $40 trillion for the first time Wednesday, adding a structural overhang to the bond-market narrative alongside near-term inflation and geopolitical concerns.
  • Japan's 10Y eased ahead of today's National CPI release, and China's was little changed.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Currency Markets
Dollar Index (DXY)
98.80
-0.10%
EUR/USD
1.1690
+0.10%
GBP/USD
1.3646
+0.10%
USD/JPY
158.95
+0.06%
AUD/USD
0.7129
+0.20%
NZD/USD
0.5966
+0.37%
USD/CAD
1.3773
+0.12%
USD/CHF
0.7993
+0.14%
USD/CNH
6.7231
+0.03%
USD/SGD
1.2704
+0.13%
USD/INR
95.7112
0.00%
USD/IDR
17,747.5
0.00%
USD/PHP
61.683
-0.04%
  • The dollar index eased further to 98.80, its softest level in months, as US fiscal and debt concerns weighed on the greenback even as Treasury yields firmed. NZD/USD was the session's strongest G10 mover, up 0.37% to 0.5966.
  • USD/JPY firmed slightly to 158.95 ahead of today's Japan CPI release. Asian EM crosses were broadly steady, with USD/INR and USD/IDR both flat.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Commodities & Energy
Gold Spot ($/oz)
4,529.80
+0.25%
Silver Spot ($/oz)
68.44
+0.49%
WTI Crude ($/bbl)
86.61
-0.26%
Brent Crude ($/bbl)
93.66
-0.13%
Brent climbed to $93.41 Thursday, up 2% on the day, as uncertainty continues over when oil tankers will freely exit the Persian Gulf, with prices holding near those levels this morning.
  • Oil is broadly steady this morning after Thursday's 2% climb, with WTI easing slightly to $86.61 and Brent to $93.66, holding most of the prior session's gains as President Trump's threat of a severe new economic operation against Iran kept geopolitical risk elevated without providing further clarity.
  • Gold rose 0.25% to $4,529.80/oz and silver added 0.49% to $68.44/oz, both extending their record run as investors weighed the combination of rising bond yields, fiscal concerns and continued Middle East uncertainty.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Economic Calendar
Friday, 21 August 2026 — Today
🇯🇵
National CPI & Core CPI YoY (Jul)
07:30 HKT
Prev: 1.7% / 1.6%
🇯🇵
S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (Aug)
08:30 HKT
Prev: 54.5 / 51.2
🇪🇺
UK Retail Sales YoY / MoM (Jul)
14:00 HKT
Prev: 4.2% / 1.0%
🇨🇳
M3 Money Supply (Jul)
15:00 HKT
Prev: ¥1,227.0B
🇪🇺
France / Germany HCOB Flash PMIs (Aug)
15:15-15:30 HKT
Prev DE Comp: 51.3
🇪🇺
Eurozone HCOB Flash Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Aug)
16:00 HKT
Prev: 51.9 / 51.7 / 52.0
🇪🇺
UK S&P Global Flash Composite/Services/Mfg PMI (Aug)
16:30 HKT
Prev: 52.2 / 52.1 / 51.9
🇺🇸
S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
21:45 HKT
Prev: 53.9
Monday, 24 August 2026 — ★ New Zealand Retail Sales & Singapore CPI
🇳🇿
Retail Sales (QoQ) (Q2)
06:45 HKT
Prev: 0.9%
🇸🇬
Core CPI (YoY) (Jul)
13:00 HKT
Prev: 1.60%
🇺🇸
Chicago Fed National Activity (Jul)
20:30 HKT
Prev: -0.02
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 — ★ German Ifo & US Consumer Confidence
🇩🇪
German Ifo Business Climate Index (Aug)
16:00 HKT
Prev: 86.6
🇭🇰
Exports (MoM) (Jul)
16:30 HKT
Prev: 53.4%
🇺🇸
CB Consumer Confidence (Aug)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 90.8
🇺🇸
New Home Sales (Jul)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 628K
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 — ★ US Q2 GDP & Core PCE Price Index
🇸🇬
Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul)
13:00 HKT
Prev: 7.2%
🇺🇸
GDP (QoQ) (Q2)
20:30 HKT
Prev: 1.5%
🇺🇸
Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul)
20:30 HKT
Prev: 3.3%
🇺🇸
Personal Spending (MoM) (Jul)
20:30 HKT
Prev: 0.3%
Thursday, 27 August 2026 — ★ South Korea Rate Decision & Australia Capex
🇰🇷
Interest Rate Decision (Aug)
09:00 HKT
Prev: 2.75%
🇦🇺
Private New Capital Expenditure (Q2)
09:30 HKT
Prev: 6.5%
🇪🇺
M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Jul)
16:00 HKT
Prev: 3.3%
🇧🇷
Unemployment Rate (Jul)
20:00 HKT
Prev: 5.4%
Friday, 28 August 2026 — ★ Tokyo CPI, Canada GDP & US Sentiment
🇯🇵
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Aug)
07:30 HKT
Prev: 1.7%
🇨🇦
GDP (QoQ) (Q2)
20:30 HKT
Prev: 0.0%
🇮🇳
Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul)
18:30 HKT
Prev: 7.3%
🇺🇸
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Aug)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 51.0
Saturday, 29 August 2026 — Brazil Employment Data
🇧🇷
CAGED Net Payroll Jobs (Jul)
01:30 HKT
Prev: 145.16K
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Disclaimers

This material is provided for informational and reference purposes only to the intended recipients and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to enter into any transaction in securities, nor does it constitute investment advice.


The information contained in this publication only reflects current market conditions and the judgment of Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited (the “Ethivo”) on the date of compilation. It does not represent an accurate forecast of individual securities or market trends, and judgments are subject to change at any time without prior notice. Certain information or data in this document has been obtained from unaffiliated third parties; Ethivo has reasonable belief that such information or data is accurate, complete and up to the date as indicated, but Ethivo makes no warranty or representation as to the completeness and accuracy of data and information sourced from such unaffiliated third parties. Ethivo, nor its shareholders, directors and employees shall not be liable for any errors or omissions in the information provided in this material, and Ethivo shall not be responsible for any loss incurred by any person as a result of reliance on or use of such information.


Investment involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future performance, future return is not guaranteed, and a loss of your original capital may occur. If necessary, you should seek independent professional advice. The material has been prepared and issued by Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.


This material is intended solely for distribution to professional investors and should not be distributed, circulated, or used by persons in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Ethivo.

Hang Seng Index
26,009.46
▲ +310.97
+1.21%
Shanghai Composite Index
3,905.20
▲ +1.48
+0.04%
Nikkei 225
66,016.36
▼ -200.43
-0.30%
KOSPI Index
6,912.95
▲ +60.37
+0.88%
ASX (S&P/ASX 200 INDEX)
9,058.88
▼ -24.87
-0.27%
Straits Times Index STI
5,690.02
▲ +18.67
+0.32%
Key Market Drivers
  • Asian markets were mixed to higher Friday even as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's warning of "the toughest sanctions in history" on Iran pushed oil to a one-month high and stoked fresh inflation concerns heading into the weekend.
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.30% to 66,016.36, on track for its worst week since mid-July, as heavyweight Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) tumbled roughly 4% on Walmart's soft quarterly sales, even though advancing issues (135) outnumbered decliners (86).
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1.21% to 26,009.46, led by property and gold-related names Laopu Gold and Henderson Land, as strength in housing offset renewed pressure on tech heavyweights Alibaba and CSPC Pharma.
  • South Korea's Kospi extended its advance for a second straight session, up 0.88% to 6,912.95, on growing hopes that Samsung Electronics will unveil a shareholder-return package reportedly worth up to $79 billion, following SK Hynix's $29 billion buyback.
  • Mainland China's Shanghai Composite was little changed, up 0.04% to 3,905.20, as gains in PetroChina and industrials offset broader weakness, with sentiment also rattled by escalating US threats against Iran.
Source: Bloomberg
Top 5 Movers – Nikkei 225s
Gainers
KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA3,405.00+7.28%
SUMITOMO CHEMICAL559.80+7.18%
TOKYO ELECTRIC POWER549.30+4.65%
MITSUI OSK LINES7,278.00+4.61%
NIPPON YUSEN7,101.00+4.50%
Losers
JAPAN STEEL WORKS7,410.00-4.65%
TREND MICRO5,472.00-4.13%
SUMITOMO PHARMA1,411.50-3.65%
FAST RETAILING73,510.00-3.63%
IHI CORP2,673.00-3.45%
Top 5 Movers – Hang Seng Index
Gainers
LAOPU GOLD-H397.80+7.46%
HENDERSON LAND DEV.30.20+7.17%
CITIC LTD13.19+6.20%
SUNNY OPTICAL TECH61.75+5.11%
CHINA LIFE INSURANCE-H28.06+5.09%
Losers
CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL9.19-3.47%
POP MART INTERNATIONAL149.00-3.06%
TINGYI (CAYMAN) HLDG13.64-2.85%
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING123.00-2.54%
HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL33.08-1.78%
Source: Bloomberg
Latest Headlines
Nikkei Falls 0.3%; Japan Steel Works Leads Declines
The Nikkei 225 slipped 200.43 points to 66,016.36, on track for its worst week in over a month, as Treasury yields climbed on renewed Iran-sanctions rhetoric. Advancers still outnumbered decliners 135 to 86, but heavyweight Fast Retailing (Uniqlo) fell 3.6% on weak Walmart earnings-driven demand fears.
Hang Seng Index Rises 1.21%; Properties, Laopu Gold Lead
The Hang Seng Index added 310.97 points to close at 26,009.46 as properties led all four sectors higher; Laopu Gold topped gainers at +7.5%, followed by Henderson Land and Citic, while CSPC Pharmaceutical and Pop Mart lagged on profit-taking after recent earnings.
Kospi Rises 0.88% for a Second Day on Samsung, SK Hynix Shareholder-Return Hopes
The Kospi added 60.37 points to 6,912.95 as investors continued to pin hopes on Samsung Electronics unveiling a shareholder-return program reportedly worth up to $79 billion, building on SK Hynix's $29 billion buyback announced earlier in the week.
Shanghai Composite Little Changed as PetroChina, Industrials Lead
The Shanghai Composite Index edged up 1.48 points to 3,905.20 after opening lower on escalating US threats against Iran; PetroChina was the biggest boost to the index, while Kweichow Moutai and WuXi AppTec provided the largest drag.
Samsung Weighs Shareholder Return Package of Up to $79 Billion
Asian tech shares extended gains on expectations that Samsung Electronics, the world's biggest memory chipmaker, is weighing a windfall AI-profit payout package of up to $79 billion, following closely on SK Hynix's buyback — a bright spot for regional sentiment even as bond yields and Middle East tensions weigh on the broader tape.
Source: Bloomberg
Disclaimers
This material is provided for informational and reference purposes only to the intended recipients and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to enter into any transaction in securities, nor does it constitute investment advice.
The information contained in this publication only reflects current market conditions and the judgment of Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited (the “Ethivo”) on the date of compilation. It does not represent an accurate forecast of individual securities or market trends, and judgments are subject to change at any time without prior notice. Certain information or data in this document has been obtained from unaffiliated third parties; Ethivo has reasonable belief that such information or data is accurate, complete and up to the date as indicated, but Ethivo makes no warranty or representation as to the completeness and accuracy of data and information sourced from such unaffiliated third parties. Ethivo, nor its shareholders, directors and employees shall not be liable for any errors or omissions in the information provided in this material, and Ethivo shall not be responsible for any loss incurred by any person as a result of reliance on or use of such information.
Investment involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future performance, future return is not guaranteed, and a loss of your original capital may occur. If necessary, you should seek independent professional advice. The material has been prepared and issued by Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.
This material is intended solely for distribution to professional investors and should not be distributed, circulated, or used by persons in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Ethivo.